derek holt Archives - Mortgage Rates & Mortgage Broker News in Canada

Rising unemployment rate and weak job gains point to June Bank of Canada rate cut

May 9, 2025 No Comments

Following a steep March decline, modest job growth in April suggests tariff impacts are weighing on Canada’s economy, raising the odds of a 25 bps rate cut in June.

Inflation eases to 2.3%, but BoC still faces tough call on rates

April 15, 2025 No Comments

Inflation cooled more than expected in March, but persistently elevated core measures may keep the Bank of Canada on hold.

BoC expected to pause this week, but more rate cuts still likely

April 14, 2025 No Comments

With markets nearly split—pricing in a 40% chance of a rate cut and a 60% chance of a hold—the Bank of Canada’s upcoming rate decision on Wednesday is still very much up in the air.

Inflation still too hot for the BoC to cut rates further: Scotiabank

March 20, 2025 No Comments

Scotiabank Economics is warning that inflation remains too persistent for the Bank of Canada to continue cutting rates.

Canadian job growth stalls in February, BoC rate cut expected next week

March 7, 2025 No Comments

After three months of steady job gains, February saw a surprising slowdown, with employment growth stalling at just 1,100 new positions.

Bank of Canada interest rate forecasts 2

Bank of Canada’s March rate cut odds drop to 30% after latest inflation data

February 18, 2025 No Comments

Canada’s inflation report for January has led to a sharp decline in the chances of the Bank of Canada cutting rates in March.

U.S. inflation hits 3%, Fed rate cut likely delayed until December

February 12, 2025 No Comments

U.S. headline inflation rose for the third straight month, raising the likelihood that the next Fed rate cut won’t happen until later this year.

Canadian consumers are more resilient than retail report suggests: Scotiabank

January 23, 2025 No Comments

Although retail sales were flat in November, Canadian consumers have shown greater resilience than many credit them for, according to Scotiabank’s analysis.

Bank of Canada to end quantitative tightening earlier than expected

January 17, 2025 1 Comment

The Bank of Canada expects to end quantitative tightening in the first half of this year and return to more normal asset purchasing levels, likely becoming the first major central bank to unwind its pandemic asset purchases.

Scotiabank: The Bank of Canada will likely deliver a 50-bps rate cut this week—here’s why it shouldn’t

December 9, 2024 No Comments

In a recent analysis, Scotiabank’s Derek Holt suggests that the Bank of Canada is likely to implement a 50-basis point rate cut this week, despite concerns over the broader economic implications.

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