Oxford Economics Archives - Mortgage Rates & Mortgage Broker News in Canada

Oxford warns of Canadian recession, says immigration slowdown and tariffs to blame

May 16, 2025 1 Comment

Oxford Economics now sees a Canadian recession as all but certain, citing a mix of global trade shocks, waning business investment and a slowdown in immigration.

Liberal election win: What it means for Canada’s policies and economy

April 29, 2025 No Comments

The Liberals, under the new leadership of Mark Carney, have secured a fourth consecutive term in office following Monday’s federal election, forming another minority government.

Canada now expected to face deeper recession, Oxford warns

April 22, 2025 No Comments

Weaker global demand, trade war uncertainty and job losses expected to drag economy into contraction through 2026.

Why Scotiabank thinks the Bank of Canada is done cutting rates

March 27, 2025 No Comments

While most of Canada’s Big 6 banks expect the Bank of Canada to deliver at least one more interest rate cut this year, Scotiabank is standing firm in its view that the central bank is already done.

Bank of Canada’s urge to cut rates fades amid tariff uncertainty

March 26, 2025 No Comments

The Bank of Canada appears increasingly reluctant to cut rates further, with minutes from its March 12 meeting showing that its most recent move was driven largely by rising uncertainty over a potential trade war with the U.S.

Economists react to Bank of Canada rate cut

Economists react to the Bank of Canada’s 25-bps rate cut: What’s next for rates?

March 12, 2025 No Comments

The Bank of Canada cut its overnight rate by 25 basis points to 2.75%, its seventh straight cut. While expected, the move comes as the Bank tries to navigate economic uncertainty and the fallout from U.S. trade tensions.

Stronger-than-expected retail sales could delay Bank of Canada rate cuts

February 21, 2025 No Comments

A surge in retail sales in December has added to the likelihood that the Bank of Canada will pause its rate cuts in March.

Bank of Canada interest rate forecasts 2

Bank of Canada’s March rate cut odds drop to 30% after latest inflation data

February 18, 2025 No Comments

Canada’s inflation report for January has led to a sharp decline in the chances of the Bank of Canada cutting rates in March.

Bank of Canada officials worry that rate cuts may overheat the housing market

June 19, 2024 2 Comments

The Bank of Canada’s top decision-makers expressed concerns before announcing this month’s interest rate cut, fearing that the rate relief could potentially overheat the housing market.

2024 recession now expected to be “shallower and shorter,” says Oxford Economics

May 16, 2024 No Comments

While Canada’s economy is still expected to enter a technical recession this year, Oxford Economics now believes the downturn will be less severe than initially thought.

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