
interest rate forecast


BMO forecasts 1.50% BoC rate by year-end if U.S. imposes tariffs on Canada
Canada received a temporary reprieve from U.S. tariffs for at least 30 days, but if enacted, BMO warns the Bank of Canada may be forced to cut its policy rate to 1.50% by year-end.

Whiplash in Canada’s bond market signals rate roller-coaster ahead, experts say
When it comes to predicting mortgage rates, the only thing Canada’s mortgage experts are certain of right now is that nothing is certain.

Housing and interest rate forecasts for 2025
As we reflect on 2024, it was a year of resilience and adjustment for Canada’s housing and mortgage market, marked by the Bank of Canada’s pivot to rate cuts after two years of relentless hikes, offering long-awaited relief to borrowers.

Experts predict Canadian mortgage rates will rise next week following latest surge in bond yields
In just two months, Canadian bond yields have surged by over 61 basis points (0.61 percentage points), with a jump of roughly 17 bps in the past week.

Fixed mortgage rates may not follow Bank of Canada cuts, former TD economist warns
While plenty of consumers believe the Bank of Canada’s steady interest rate cuts will drop mortgage rates meaningfully across the board, economist Don Drummond isn’t so sure that prediction applies to fixed rate mortgages.

Economists predict June rate cut as inflation continues to ease
Today’s lower-than-expected inflation reading for February has bolstered confidence that the Bank of Canada could initiate its first rate cut in June.

Fixed mortgage rates in Canada resume their decline amid economic volatility
After a short-lived upswing in bond yields last month that nudged some fixed mortgage rates higher, lenders are once again bringing them back down.

Sticky inflation to push Bank of Canada rate cuts to at least June: economists
A majority of economists believe stubborn inflation is likely to delay the first Bank of Canada rate cut until at least June.

2024 housing market and interest rate forecasts
2023 was a year that tested the resilience of Canadian mortgage holders. And as we look forward, there’s optimism that 2024 will be the year of rate relief.