
Bank of Canada


Confidence hits new lows as recession concerns mount in Canada
With a third of Canadian businesses now expecting a recession in the next 12 months—up from just 15% in the last two quarters—economic unease is clearly on the rise.

Job losses, tariff fears push BoC rate cut odds to near 50%
March’s surprise job losses—the first in three years—signal early signs of trade war impacts on the Canadian economy, raising the odds of an April rate cut to 50%.

Canada spared from Trump’s new import tariffs, but auto sector still faces 25% levy
Canada has avoided the brunt of a sweeping new round of U.S. tariffs announced today by U.S. President Donald Trump, who unveiled a blanket 10% levy on all imports—excluding only Canada and Mexico under the USMCA trade pact.

Strong GDP growth in January may be short-lived as tariff threats loom
Canada’s economy kicked off 2025 with stronger-than-expected growth, but that momentum may soon stall as looming tariffs threaten to derail the recovery.

Bank of Canada’s urge to cut rates fades amid tariff uncertainty
The Bank of Canada appears increasingly reluctant to cut rates further, with minutes from its March 12 meeting showing that its most recent move was driven largely by rising uncertainty over a potential trade war with the U.S.

Inflation still too hot for the BoC to cut rates further: Scotiabank
Scotiabank Economics is warning that inflation remains too persistent for the Bank of Canada to continue cutting rates.

Economists react to the Bank of Canada’s 25-bps rate cut: What’s next for rates?
The Bank of Canada cut its overnight rate by 25 basis points to 2.75%, its seventh straight cut. While expected, the move comes as the Bank tries to navigate economic uncertainty and the fallout from U.S. trade tensions.

Three big banks cut mortgage rates this week, one drops 5-year fixed to 3.99%
Following dramatic swings in the bond market—and broader economic uncertainty sparked by President Donald Trump’s tariff threats—three of Canada’s big banks have slashed their fixed mortgage rates this week.

Canadian job growth stalls in February, BoC rate cut expected next week
After three months of steady job gains, February saw a surprising slowdown, with employment growth stalling at just 1,100 new positions.